NFL Prop Guides
Plain-English breakdowns of how NFL player props work and how we project them. No jargon, no hype, just how the numbers come together for the 2026 season.
How Our NFL Prop Projections Work
How we build a projection by simulating each game 10,000 times, and what the median and range actually tell you.
How NFL Passing Yards Props Work
What drives a quarterback's passing yards, from volume to game script, and how to read our projected range against the line.
How NFL Anytime Touchdown Props Work
What anytime touchdown means, how the price maps to a probability, and what drives a player's chance of scoring.