Founder's Picks

How these picks are made

Every pick starts with our projections, but none of them end there. The numbers are the starting point and the gut check. When a game looks right situationally, the founder digs into the player props, works the distributions and the alt lines, and decides whether the number holds up against how he expects the game to play out. Some picks follow our projections. Some go against them.

That is why there are two public records, on purpose. The board keeps its own record so the projections keep learning. The picks on this page carry the founder's record, every win and every loss. A pick here is a judgment call with the numbers in hand, not an automatic bet on whatever the projections lean.

Picks post before the games kick off, and subscribers get an email the moment a new card is live. No need to keep checking.